A thought that occurred to me early in reading this take-down of NASA's Orion capsule is that NASA is now 67 years old, and we shaved apes are *terrible* at building institutions that function for more than an average human life expectancy, on the orde...
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A thought that occurred to me early in reading this take-down of NASA's Orion capsule is that NASA is now 67 years old, and we shaved apes are *terrible* at building institutions that function for more than an average human life expectancy, on the order of 70-80 years.
Even before Trump, NASA was probably likely to wither and die before 2050. Now I think it'll be lucky it make it to 2030.
https://spacey.space/@nyrath/115485574021179202 -
@cstross for sure, the probability at founding that any institution will survive for 80 years are pretty slim
but I wonder if the probability of a 67 years old institution to survive 80 more years aren't significantly higher: they should have already gone through at least a couple of generational changes and other events that cause the early failure of most institutions.
We do have a big handful of examples of institutions that lasted for centuries, or even millennia (not unchanged, and in many cases their current state wouldn't be recognized by the people from the time of their founding, but they are still there)
